4.4
Economic integration
Distinguish the kinds of trade agreement and trading bloc, weigh the advantages and disadvantages of membership, define monetary union, and explain what the World Trade Organization does and what limits it.
Level and scope checked against the Economics guide (course first assessed 2022; October 2022 update), pp. 20–21, 47–48, on 10 Nov 2026. AI-assisted check, not reviewed by a teacher.The syllabus outline lists no HL-only part for 4.4. Its topic table (pp. 47–48) labels three entries HL only.
Contents
- 1Learning objectives and review status
- 2HL learning objectivesHL
- 3Trade agreements: bilateral, regional and multilateral
- 4Trading blocs: free trade area, customs union, common market
- 5Advantages and disadvantages of trading blocs
- 6Monetary union: what it is
- 7The World Trade Organization: objectives and functions
- 8What limits the influence of the World Trade Organization
- 9HL: trade creation and trade diversionHL
- 10HL: advantages and disadvantages of monetary unionHL
- 11Common mistakes and exam application
- 12Practice and feedback: 15 marks
- 13Practice and feedback: 10 marks
- 14Practice and feedback: 10 marksHL
- 15Practice and feedback: 15 marksHL
- 16Practice and feedback: 2 marks
- 17Practice and feedback: 4 marks
- 18Practice and feedback: 2 marks
- 19Practice and feedback: 2 marks
- 20Practice and feedback: 4 marks
- 21Practice and feedback: 4 marksHL
- 22Sources and review status
1Learning objectives and review status
- State what a preferential trade agreement is and distinguish bilateral, regional and multilateral agreements.
- Distinguish a free trade area, a customs union and a common market by the feature each one adds.
- Evaluate, with a real-world example, whether the gains to a country from belonging to a trading bloc are worth the costs.
- Explain what a monetary union is and what its members share.
- Explain the objectives and functions of the World Trade Organization and two factors that limit its influence.
2HL learning objectivesHL only
- Explain trade creation and trade diversion, and use them to evaluate a trading bloc.
- Evaluate the advantages and disadvantages of monetary union.
3Trade agreements: bilateral, regional and multilateral
is the process by which countries reduce the barriers between their economies through agreements. It ranges from a limited cut in tariffs on a few goods to a shared currency. The agreements that begin the process remove barriers to .
A is an agreement in which countries give each other's products better access to their markets than they give to non-members, usually through lower or zero tariffs on some or all goods. The word preferential carries the meaning: members are preferred over outsiders. Trade agreements are classified by the number of parties.
- A is between two countries, or between one country and a bloc acting as a single party. The Trade and Cooperation Agreement between the United Kingdom and the European Union, which avoided tariffs on most goods traded between them, is an example.
- A is among a group of countries, usually neighbours in one geographic area. The customs union of the European Union is a regional arrangement.
- A is among a large number of countries across the world, negotiated through the World Trade Organization (WTO), which has 166 members.
There is an important difference between the first two and the third. Bilateral and regional agreements lower barriers for members only, so they discriminate against every other country. A multilateral agreement reached through the WTO applies to all members. Under the a member cannot normally discriminate between its trading partners, so a tariff cut offered to one member is extended to all. Multilateral liberalisation is therefore not preferential among WTO members, although it is studied under the same heading. WTO rules allow bilateral and regional agreements as an exception to non-discrimination, on condition that they do not raise barriers against third countries.
Bilateral and regional agreements have become the usual way of opening trade because they are easier to reach. Two governments, or a small group with similar interests, can agree where 166 cannot, and they can go further than the WTO's rules, covering services, investment and product standards. The cost is a patchwork: each agreement has its own rules, traders must work out which one applies, and countries with small markets, which have little to offer in a negotiation, are the ones most likely to be left out.
| Agreement | Parties | Who receives the lower barriers |
|---|---|---|
| Bilateral | Two countries, or a country and a bloc | Only the two parties |
| Regional | A group of countries, usually neighbours | Only the members of the group |
| Multilateral | Many countries, through the WTO | All WTO members equally |
Key terms
- Economic integration
- The process by which countries reduce the barriers between their economies through agreements on trade, on the movement of labour and capital, or on common policies.
- International trade
- The exchange of goods and services across national borders.
- Preferential trade agreement
- An agreement in which countries give each other's products better access to their markets, such as lower tariffs, than they give to non-members.
- Bilateral trade agreement
- A trade agreement between two countries, or between one country and a trading bloc acting as a single party.
- Regional trade agreement
- A trade agreement among a group of countries, usually in the same geographic region.
- Multilateral trade agreement
- A trade agreement among many countries, negotiated through the World Trade Organization and applied to all of its members.
- Most-favoured-nation principle
- The World Trade Organization rule that a member cannot normally discriminate between its trading partners, so a trade concession given to one member is given to all.
4Trading blocs: free trade area, customs union, common market
A is a group of countries that agree to reduce or remove barriers to trade among themselves. There are three types. They form a ladder: each type keeps everything in the one before it and adds one feature, so each is defined most clearly by what it adds.
| Type | Trade between members | Policy towards non-members | Labour and capital |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free trade area | Tariffs and quotas removed on most goods | Each member keeps its own tariffs | No free movement |
| Customs union | Free trade between members | A common external tariff | No free movement |
| Common market | Free trade between members | A common external tariff | Free movement between members |
In a members remove barriers on trade with each other, and each keeps its own barriers against non-members. That difference in external tariffs creates a problem. An exporter outside the area could send its goods into the member with the lowest tariff and then move them on, tariff-free, to the others. To prevent this the area needs : a good qualifies for tariff-free entry only if the trader can show that it was substantially made inside the area. Goods must therefore still be checked at the borders between members, and proving origin is a cost for firms.
A is a free trade area whose members also apply a : every member charges the same tariff on a given import from outside. An import now pays the same tariff wherever it enters, so there is nothing to gain by routing it through one member, and once inside it can circulate freely without proof of origin. The price of this is independence. The members must negotiate with the rest of the world as one, and no member can sign its own trade agreement with a non-member.
A is a customs union that also allows labour and capital to move freely between members. Workers can take jobs, and firms can invest, anywhere in the bloc, so labour and capital move to where they earn the most, and the bloc's resources are used more productively. For this to work, members have to recognise each other's qualifications and agree common rules for products, so that national regulations do not act as barriers inside the market. A common market therefore requires more shared rule-making than a customs union.
The European Union is both a customs union and a common market, which it calls the single market. National customs services apply common customs legislation and collect the duties on imports from outside. The currency is a further step that not every member has taken, and it is the subject of a later section.
Check your understanding
Check your understanding
Key terms
- Trading bloc
- A group of countries that agree to reduce or remove barriers to trade among themselves.
- Free trade area
- A trading bloc whose members remove trade barriers among themselves while each keeps its own barriers against non-members.
- Customs union
- A free trade area whose members also apply a common external barrier, such as a common tariff, to non-members.
- Common market
- A customs union that also lets labour and capital move freely between member countries.
- Common external tariff
- A single set of tariffs that all members of a customs union apply to imports from non-members.
- Rules of origin
- Rules that determine where a good was made, used in a free trade area to decide whether the good qualifies for tariff-free entry.
5Advantages and disadvantages of trading blocs
Joining a trading bloc changes more than tariffs. There are four main advantages and two main disadvantages, and they have to be weighed against each other. Each is set out below with its mechanism and with the condition that makes it large or small.
Greater access to markets and economies of scale. When barriers between members are removed, a firm can sell to the whole bloc and not only to its home market. Its output rises, its fixed costs are spread over more units, and it gains , so its average cost falls. Lower costs mean lower prices for consumers and a stronger position against firms outside the bloc. The gain is largest for small economies, whose home markets are too small for efficient scale, and for industries with high fixed costs. Two related gains follow: firms in other member countries compete in the home market, which widens choice and forces domestic firms to become more efficient, and the bloc attracts , because a firm that produces in one member country can supply all of them without paying tariffs.
Employment opportunities with freedom of labour. This applies to a common market. Workers can move to member countries where jobs are available or wages are higher. Unemployment falls in the regions they leave, shortages of labour are filled in the regions they move to, and total output rises; many migrants also send part of their income home. There are costs on both sides. Poorer members may lose skilled workers they have paid to train. In the receiving regions some residents fear lower wages or more pressure on housing and public services, and that can turn opinion against membership.
Stronger bargaining power in multilateral negotiations. A bloc negotiates with the rest of the world as a single large market. Access to that market is worth more to other countries than access to one small economy, so the bloc can obtain better terms, at the World Trade Organization or in agreements with other countries, than any member could alone.
Greater political stability and cooperation. Countries whose firms and workers depend on each other have more to lose from conflict. Shared institutions give governments a regular way of settling disputes, and cooperation that begins with trade can extend to the environment, security and transport links.
Loss of sovereignty. Members give up some control over their own policies. In a customs union they can no longer set their own tariffs or sign their own trade agreements. In a common market they must also accept common rules on products and competition, the free movement of workers from other members, and the rulings of common courts; most blocs also require payments into a common budget. The deeper the bloc, the greater the loss. Whether this is a cost depends on how much a country values independent policy compared with the economic gains, which is a political judgement.
Challenge to multilateral trading negotiations. A bloc favours its members over non-members, which is contrary to the principle of non-discrimination on which the multilateral system rests. As blocs spread, governments put their effort into regional agreements instead of agreements among all countries, and world trade may divide into rival blocs with barriers between them. Countries left outside, often the poorest, face worse access to the largest markets. The opposing view is that blocs open trade where agreement among all countries has stalled, and that open blocs can later widen to take in new members.
- Adjustment costs. Industries that cannot match the costs of firms elsewhere in the bloc shrink. Their workers face structural unemployment if they cannot move to new jobs or regions, and the regions where those industries are concentrated decline.
- Unequal gains. Firms tend to locate near the largest markets and best transport links, so richer members and regions may gain more than poorer ones.
- Lost tariff revenue. The government no longer collects tariffs on imports from other members.
The therefore differ. Consumers gain lower prices and more choice. Efficient firms and exporters gain a larger market; inefficient firms lose their protection. Workers who can move, or who work in expanding industries, gain; workers in shrinking industries and regions lose unless they are helped to adjust. The government gains influence abroad and loses some control at home. Producers in non-member countries lose sales.
The estimates for the United Kingdom support three of the points above. The loss of trade was large because the European Union is the United Kingdom's nearest and largest market. Most of it came from leaving the single market and not from leaving the customs union, which shows that the main gains from a deep bloc come from removing checks, paperwork and differences in rules, and that an agreement with zero tariffs does not replace them. And the case shows the trade-off directly: the United Kingdom regained control of its trade policy and regulation, and the price was the trade it gave up. The figures are estimates of what trade would otherwise have been, made by a research institute that favours integration, for a period that also included a pandemic and an energy shock, so they indicate the direction and rough size of the effect and not an exact measure.
Check your understanding
Key terms
- Trading bloc
- A group of countries that agree to reduce or remove barriers to trade among themselves.
- Economies of scale
- Falls in long-run average cost as a firm increases its scale of output, for example because fixed costs are spread over more units, inputs are bought in bulk, or specialised equipment and labour can be used.
- Foreign direct investment
- Long-term investment by a firm, usually a multinational corporation, that establishes or takes control of productive assets in another country.
- Structural unemployment
- Unemployment caused by a mismatch between available jobs and workers' skills, locations or circumstances.
- Stakeholder impact
- The gains, losses and behavioural changes experienced by consumers, producers, workers, taxpayers or other affected groups.
6Monetary union: what it is
A is a group of countries that share a single currency and a common , which sets one for all of them. It is a step beyond a common market: the members usually already trade freely and allow labour and capital to move between them.
- One currency. Each member gives up its national currency. Prices, wages and debts in every member country are in the common currency.
- No exchange rate between members. There is nothing to convert inside the union. The common currency has an against currencies outside the union, and no single member can set it.
- One central bank and one interest rate. The common central bank sets a single policy interest rate for the whole union, according to conditions in the union as a whole.
- National budgets. Taxation and government spending remain decisions for each member's government, usually within common rules on deficits and debt.
A monetary union should be kept apart from two arrangements that resemble it. A country that fixes its exchange rate to another currency still has its own currency and central bank, and it can change or abandon the rate. A country that simply uses another country's currency has no share in the decisions of the central bank that issues it. Members of a monetary union share the central bank as well as the currency.
The euro area is the largest example. Euro notes and coins are legal tender in 21 of the 27 member states of the European Union and are used by about 358 million people, and the European Central Bank conducts a single monetary policy for all of them. Bulgaria joined on 1 January 2026, when its currency, the lev, was converted at a fixed rate of 1.95583 lev to one euro. Six member states do not use the euro: Czechia, Denmark, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Sweden. They are inside the customs union and the single market, which shows that a monetary union is a separate step that a member of a trading bloc may or may not take.
Check your understanding
Key terms
- Monetary union
- A group of countries that share a single currency and a common central bank, which sets one monetary policy for all of them.
- Central bank
- The institution that conducts a country's monetary policy, acts as banker to commercial banks and the government, and acts as lender of last resort to the banking system.
- Monetary policy
- Action by a central bank to influence interest rates, the money supply and credit conditions in order to manage aggregate demand and achieve macroeconomic objectives, especially low and stable inflation.
- Exchange rate
- The price of one currency expressed in terms of another currency.
7The World Trade Organization: objectives and functions
The is the international organisation that sets and administers the rules of trade between its members. It was created in 1995 as the successor to the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) of 1947. It has had 166 members since 30 August 2024, of which 117 are developing countries or separate customs territories.
Its objective is that trade should flow as freely, predictably and fairly as possible, so that members can use trade to raise living standards. The rules that serve this objective rest on a small number of principles.
- Non-discrimination between trading partners. Under the most-favoured-nation principle a member cannot normally discriminate between other members: a lower tariff offered to one is offered to all.
- Non-discrimination inside the market. Under national treatment, imported and locally produced goods should be treated equally once the foreign goods have entered the market.
- Freer trade through negotiation. Barriers are lowered step by step in rounds of talks, with each member offering concessions in return for others'.
- Predictability. Members commit to maximum tariff rates that they promise not to exceed, and they must publish their trade rules, so firms can plan.
- Fair competition. The rules set out when a member may respond to dumping and to subsidised exports.
- Development. Developing members are given longer periods to apply agreements and help in doing so.
The WTO lists the following among its main functions.
- Providing a forum for negotiations in which members agree to reduce obstacles to trade and agree new rules.
- Administering and monitoring the application of the agreed rules, including regular reviews of each member's trade policies.
- Settling disputes between members about whether the rules have been broken.
- Building the trade capacity of developing countries through training and technical help.
- Cooperating with other international organisations.
Dispute settlement is the function that gives the rules force. As designed, a member that believes another has broken the rules first asks for consultations. If these fail, a panel of experts hears the case and issues a report, and either side may appeal on points of law. If the losing member does not change its policy, the WTO can authorise the complaining member to respond with trade barriers of its own. The WTO has no power to fine a member or to force it to comply: its enforcement is authorised . The next section explains why the appeal stage is not operating.
Decisions are taken by consensus: an agreement is adopted only if no member objects. This gives every agreement legitimacy, because each member has accepted it, and it is also the reason the organisation moves slowly.
Check your understanding
Key terms
- World Trade Organization
- An international institution that provides rules and a forum for trade negotiations and dispute settlement.
- Most-favoured-nation principle
- The World Trade Organization rule that a member cannot normally discriminate between its trading partners, so a trade concession given to one member is given to all.
- Retaliation
- Trade barriers that a country imposes in response to barriers placed on its exports by a trading partner.
8What limits the influence of the World Trade Organization
The influence of the WTO is its ability to get members to agree new rules and to keep the existing ones. Two factors limit it. A third, the state of dispute settlement, follows from them and is the most visible limit today.
Difficulty of reaching agreement on primary products. Many high-income members protect and subsidise their farmers, for reasons of food security and because farmers are politically influential. Developing members that can produce farm goods at relatively low cost therefore face tariffs in their best markets and competition from subsidised exports. They are unwilling to open their own markets to manufactured goods and services unless that protection is reduced, and the high-income members are unwilling to reduce it. Each side withholds what the other wants, and negotiations stall.
Difficulty of reaching agreement on services. Trade in services such as banking, insurance, education and health care is restricted by regulations and not by tariffs: licences, limits on foreign ownership, rules about which professional qualifications are recognised. These barriers are hard to measure and compare, so it is hard to trade one country's concession against another's, and they concern areas that governments treat as sensitive.
The WTO's way of working turns these difficulties into deadlock. With 166 members and decisions by consensus, any member can block an agreement. The Doha Round of negotiations was launched in November 2001 as a single undertaking covering about 20 areas, including agriculture and services, which means that nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. The WTO's own timeline of the round ends with the package agreed in Nairobi in December 2015. Governments that want faster progress have turned to bilateral and regional agreements, which moves trade negotiation away from the WTO and reduces its importance.
Unequal bargaining power of members. Formally every member has the same standing, since any member can withhold consensus. In practice power is unequal in three ways.
- Market size. A country's weight in a negotiation is the size of the market it can open or close. Large economies shape the agenda; small ones have little to offer or to withhold.
- Capacity. Many developing and least developed members have small delegations and limited legal and technical expertise, so they cannot follow every negotiation or afford to bring complex disputes.
- Enforcement. The final sanction is retaliation by the member that wins a dispute. Trade barriers imposed by a small economy do little harm to a large one and raise prices for the small economy's own consumers, so a ruling in its favour may change nothing.
The result is a widely held view that the rules reflect the priorities of the largest members, for example lower tariffs on manufactured goods while protection of farming remains. That view weakens the commitment of other members to the system.
Dispute settlement today. Because members could not reach consensus on appointing new members to the Appellate Body, it has not been able to function since 11 December 2019, and the term of its last sitting member expired on 30 November 2020. Panels still report, but a member that loses can appeal to a body that cannot hear the appeal, which leaves the dispute unresolved. As a partial substitute, the Multi-Party Interim Appeal Arbitration Arrangement has applied among participating members since 30 April 2020, and its site lists 60 participants. The 14th Ministerial Conference, in Yaoundé, concluded on 30 March 2026 without consensus on the texts on WTO reform.
Large members can also act outside the rules. In 2025 the United States imposed 'reciprocal' tariffs of at least 10% on imports from all trading partners, with higher rates for dozens of countries, and justified them by 'large and persistent' trade deficits. Tariffs set in this way, at different rates for different members, fall outside the most-favoured-nation principle and the tariff ceilings that members have agreed. They were limited in February 2026 by a ruling of the United States Supreme Court on the President's legal authority, not by the WTO, and tariffs were then imposed under other laws. The episode shows how little the WTO can restrain a member of that size.
The WTO's influence is reduced, not ended. In June 2026 a WTO Deputy Director-General said that approximately 72% of world merchandise trade still takes place on most-favoured-nation terms under WTO rules. Members brought 13 new disputes in 2025, the highest number since the impasse over the Appellate Body began in 2019, and a group of 130 members continues to call for new appointments to it. The organisation's weakness is in making new rules and in enforcing rulings against its largest members; most trade is still conducted under the rules it already has.
Check your understanding
Key terms
- World Trade Organization
- An international institution that provides rules and a forum for trade negotiations and dispute settlement.
- Most-favoured-nation principle
- The World Trade Organization rule that a member cannot normally discriminate between its trading partners, so a trade concession given to one member is given to all.
9HL: trade creation and trade diversionHL only
At HL there is one further advantage and one further disadvantage of trading blocs. Both describe what happens to the source of a country's supply when a bloc removes tariffs for members and keeps them for everyone else. The test in each case is the cost of the producer that supply moves to.
- : higher-cost domestic production is replaced by lower-cost imports from a member country, because the barriers inside the bloc have been removed.
- : lower-cost imports from a non-member are replaced by higher-cost imports from a member, because the member's goods now enter free of the tariff while the non-member's still pay it.
One example shows both. Country H joins a with partner P; country W stays outside. Before joining, H applies the same tariff to every foreign supplier of a good, and buys each good from whichever source is cheapest after the tariff. After joining, P's goods enter H free of tariff, and the union's on W's goods is assumed to equal H's old tariff. H's tariff is 4 per unit on good X and 3 per unit on good Y.
| Good and supplier | Cost per unit | Price in H before (cost + tariff) | Price in H after joining |
|---|---|---|---|
| X from H's own firms | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| X from partner P | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| X from non-member W | 10 | 14 | 14 |
| Y from H's own firms | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| Y from partner P | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| Y from non-member W | 8 | 11 | 11 |
All figures are invented for illustration.
Good X shows trade creation. Before the union the cheapest source in H is its own industry, at 12, because the tariff lifts P's price to 13 and W's to 14. Inside the union P's price falls to 9 and H imports X from P. Production has moved from a producer with a cost of 12 to one with a cost of 9. Consumers pay 3 less per unit and buy more, and the resources that H used to make X are released for industries in which its costs are lower. This is a clear gain in welfare: it recovers the two welfare-loss triangles of the tariff diagram in topic 4.2.
Good Y shows trade diversion. Before the union H imports Y from W, the lowest-cost producer in the world, at a price of 11: 8 goes to W and 3 is tariff revenue for H's government. Inside the union P's price falls to 9 while W's stays at 11, so H switches to P. Consumers pay 2 less per unit. But H as a country now pays foreigners 9 per unit where it paid 8, and its government loses 3 per unit of tariff revenue. On every unit that used to come from W, consumers gain 2 and the government loses 3, so the country is worse off by 1, the extra cost of P's production. The only offset is the benefit to consumers of the extra units they buy at the lower price.
The welfare effect of trade diversion is therefore uncertain for the member: a loss on the quantity that was already imported, set against a gain on the additional consumption. For the non-member it is a loss in every case, because W loses its sales although it is the more efficient producer. Exporters in developing countries outside large blocs are the usual losers. A bloc raises the welfare of its members if the gain from trade creation is larger than the loss from trade diversion.
These two effects come first in an HL evaluation of a trading bloc. The other advantages and disadvantages in the SL/HL section still apply, but the question of whether joining raises welfare starts with whether the bloc mainly creates trade or mainly diverts it. The estimates for the United Kingdom in that section can be read as trade creation in reverse: when the barriers returned, part of the trade that their removal had created was lost.
Check your understanding
Key terms
- Trade creationHL
- The replacement of higher-cost domestic production by lower-cost imports from a member country when a trading bloc removes its internal barriers.
- Trade diversionHL
- Trade shifted from a lower-cost external producer to a higher-cost bloc member because of preferential treatment.
- Customs union
- A free trade area whose members also apply a common external barrier, such as a common tariff, to non-members.
- Common external tariff
- A single set of tariffs that all members of a customs union apply to imports from non-members.
10HL: advantages and disadvantages of monetary unionHL only
A country that joins a shares a currency and a with its partners. The advantages come from the shared currency. The disadvantages come from the two tools of adjustment that the country gives up: its own interest rate and its own .
- No exchange-rate uncertainty inside the union. A firm that sells to another member knows what its future receipts will be worth, so trade and investment across borders carry less risk and increase.
- No conversion costs. Firms and travellers no longer pay banks to change currencies, which saves real resources.
- Price transparency. Prices in every member country are in the same currency and easy to compare, so competition increases and prices are pushed down.
- Credibility. For a country with a history of high inflation, a common central bank committed to low inflation lowers expected inflation, and with it the interest rates at which households, firms and the government borrow. This holds only while lenders regard the government's own finances as sound.
- Investment. A large area with one currency and no exchange-rate risk is attractive to foreign firms, and its currency is more widely used in world trade and finance.
The first disadvantage is the loss of an independent . The common central bank sets one interest rate for the union as a whole. An is a disturbance that affects some members differently from others. If one member is in recession while the others are growing, the common rate is too high for the member in recession, which deepens its fall in output, and too low for any member that is overheating, where it adds to inflation and to rising asset prices. The less the members' business cycles move together, the larger this cost.
The second is the loss of the exchange rate. A country whose costs have risen faster than its partners' cannot devalue to restore its competitiveness. Its wages and prices have to fall relative to theirs, which is sometimes called an internal devaluation. Wages rarely fall unless unemployment is high, so the adjustment is slow and costly in lost output and jobs.
- Limits on . Rules that restrict deficits and debt, such as the euro area's Stability and Growth Pact, are meant to stop one member's borrowing from endangering the others. They also restrict the one demand-side tool a member keeps, at the time it most needs it.
- Few automatic transfers. Without a large common budget, little money flows from members that are growing to members in recession, unlike between the regions of one country.
- Borrowing in a currency the government cannot issue. A member's government has no national central bank to support it in a crisis, so a loss of lenders' confidence can become a debt crisis that spreads to other members.
- Loss of sovereignty over monetary policy, and the one-off costs of changing the currency.
The euro area illustrates the last two conditions. Euro notes and coins are legal tender in 21 of the 27 member states of the European Union. Six member states, including Denmark, which has an opt-out, have kept their own currencies while taking part in the same single market, which shows that the benefits of the market can be had without the currency, and that the currency has to be judged on its own balance of costs and benefits. Bulgaria, which joined on 1 January 2026, had already pegged its currency for years, so it gave up little monetary independence that it still had.
Greece shows the cost side. As a member of the euro area it could not devalue or lower its own interest rate when it lost access to borrowing, so the whole adjustment fell on government spending, taxes, wages and prices. The evaluation of its 2010 programme by the International Monetary Fund found that a significant fiscal adjustment took place but that confidence and growth were not restored. The case is evidence for the claim that, inside a monetary union, a member hit by a shock that its partners do not share adjusts slowly and at a high cost in output.
Check your understanding
Key terms
- Monetary union
- A group of countries that share a single currency and a common central bank, which sets one monetary policy for all of them.
- Asymmetric shockHL
- An economic disturbance that affects some members of a monetary union differently from others.
- Monetary policy
- Action by a central bank to influence interest rates, the money supply and credit conditions in order to manage aggregate demand and achieve macroeconomic objectives, especially low and stable inflation.
- Exchange rate
- The price of one currency expressed in terms of another currency.
- Fiscal policy
- Government decisions on spending and taxation used to influence economic activity and other policy objectives.
- Central bank
- The institution that conducts a country's monetary policy, acts as banker to commercial banks and the government, and acts as lender of last resort to the banking system.
11Common mistakes and exam application
12Practice and feedback: 15 marks
13Practice and feedback: 10 marks
14Practice and feedback: 10 marksHL only
15Practice and feedback: 15 marksHL only
16Practice and feedback: 2 marks
17Practice and feedback: 4 marks
18Practice and feedback: 2 marks
19Practice and feedback: 2 marks
20Practice and feedback: 4 marks
21Practice and feedback: 4 marksHL only
22Sources and review status
Written with AI assistance. The sources below were consulted on ; each entry says what it was used for and what it does not cover. Not reviewed by a teacher. Not approved as a finished revision resource.
Not yet checked against any source: the advantages and disadvantages of trading blocs other than trade creation and trade diversion (employment, bargaining power, political stability, sovereignty, the challenge to multilateral negotiations); the advantages and disadvantages of a monetary union beyond the loss of an independent monetary policy; why agreement on services and primary products is difficult and why members' bargaining power is unequal.
Sources consulted
Diploma Programme Economics guide (course first assessed 2022; October 2022 update; cover reads "First assessment 2024")
International Baccalaureate. IB curriculum document, learner's own copy, 10 Nov 2026. Printed pp. 20-21 (syllabus outline) and the topic tables on the printed pages recorded on each syllabus node; assessment outline pp. 60-65; command terms pp. 74-75. PDF page = printed page + 6.
Used for: Topic titles, the scope of each topic and SL/HL level, the assessment format and the command terms, as recorded on each syllabus node.
Limits: Read from the learner's own PDF, which is not redistributed. The IB's online copy could not be opened by automated access (HTTP 403 on 11 November 2026), so this copy was not compared with it. It sets what must be taught; it does not explain the economics. AI-assisted reading, not checked by a teacher.
Saylor Academy (open textbook). Reference, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Chapter 9, section 9.10
Used for: Definitions of preferential trade agreement, free trade area, customs union, common market, economic union and monetary union. Trade creation (new trade supplied by a more efficient producer; raises welfare) and trade diversion (trade shifted from a more efficient outside supplier to a less efficient partner; welfare effect ambiguous).
Limits: Open textbook published by Saylor Academy in 2012 under CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 with the author's name withheld at the author's request; undergraduate level.
Regional Trade Agreements: scope of RTAs
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Whole page
Used for: Regional trade agreements as reciprocal agreements between two or more partners; their status as an exception to non-discrimination under GATT Article XXIV, the Enabling Clause and GATS Article V; they should not raise barriers to third parties.
Limits: Does not define a free trade area or customs union.
OpenStax, Rice University. Reference, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Section 20.4
Used for: GATT (1947) becoming the WTO in 1995; regional trading agreements; free trade agreements, common market and economic union described.
Limits: Does not define a customs union and does not cover trade creation or trade diversion. University-level US textbook: its wording, examples and diagrams are not IB wording and it is not an authority for IB scope or SL/HL level.
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Page heading and accession list
Used for: WTO membership count and latest accessions
Limits: Count changes with each accession.
Understanding the WTO: principles of the trading system
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Sections on MFN and national treatment
Used for: Most-favoured-nation and national-treatment principles
Limits: Explanatory page, not a legal text.
Springford & Spisak, 'The costs of separation' (Ten years after the Brexit referendum, June 2026)
Centre for European Reform. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. pp. 4–5
Used for: CER estimates of UK–EU goods and services trade relative to a no-Brexit counterfactual; report of the OBR's 15% / 4% assumptions
Limits: Think-tank estimates (counterfactual modelling), not official statistics; CER is openly critical of Brexit. OBR's own page returned HTTP 403, so the OBR figures are quoted second-hand.
European Central Bank. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Introductory text and country list
Used for: Euro is legal tender in 21 of 27 EU Member States; about 358 million people; Bulgaria listed 'since 2026'; non-euro EU members
Limits: Descriptive page; no evidence on costs or benefits of membership.
European Commission, DG Economic and Financial Affairs. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Opening paragraph
Used for: Bulgaria joined the euro area on 1 January 2026 at 1.95583 lev per euro
Limits: No assessment of effects.
EU Customs Union: facts and figures
European Commission, DG Taxation and Customs Union. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Introductory text and 2025 figures
Used for: Customs union underpins the single market; 2025 customs duties collected (almost €30.7 billion, preliminary)
Limits: 2025 figures are labelled preliminary. The page does not define the common external tariff.
Principles of Microeconomics 3e: 19.4 The Benefits of Reducing Barriers to International Trade
OpenStax, Rice University. Reference, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Section 19.4
Used for: Tariffs as taxes on imports; gains from trade through economies of scale, competition and the transfer of knowledge.
Limits: Does not define nontariff barriers on this page. University-level US textbook: its wording, examples and diagrams are not IB wording and it is not an authority for IB scope or SL/HL level.
Economic and Monetary Union (EMU)
European Central Bank. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. The three stages of EMU and the list of euro-area members
Used for: The euro was introduced on 1 January 1999 with irrevocably fixed exchange rates and a single monetary policy conducted by the ECB and Eurosystem; the Stability and Growth Pact; countries that have adopted the euro, most recently Croatia (2023) and Bulgaria (2026).
Limits: Institutional history only; it does not evaluate the costs and benefits of a monetary union.
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Whole page
Used for: The WTO operates the system of trade rules, provides a forum for negotiating trade agreements, settles trade disputes, monitors members' trade policies, builds trade capacity in developing economies and cooperates with other international organisations.
Limits: The page gives no member count and is the organisation's own description.
Understanding the WTO: Settling disputes - A unique contribution
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Whole page
Used for: The dispute settlement procedure as designed: the Dispute Settlement Body, consultations (up to 60 days), panels, appeal on points of law, a target of about one year without appeal, and authorised retaliation if a ruling is not implemented.
Limits: Describes the system as designed. Read with wto-appellate-body: the appeal stage is not currently operating.
The WTO (overview: what we do)
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Sections 'What we do' and membership sentence
Used for: WTO functions; 166 members of which 117 developing countries or separate customs territories
Limits: Institutional self-description; says nothing about effectiveness.
MC14 briefing note: WTO reform
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Dispute settlement reform section
Used for: Appellate Body non-functional from 11 December 2019; 13 new disputes in 2025; 130 members back restarting selection; consultations to continue after MC14
Limits: Briefing note updated after MC14 (refers to the May 2026 General Council); not a negotiated text.
Dispute settlement: Appellate Body
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Status notice at the top of the page
Used for: The Appellate Body is currently unable to review appeals because of ongoing vacancies; it has no members, and the term of the last sitting member expired on 30 November 2020. Appellate Body has no members and cannot review appeals; last term expired 30 November 2020
Limits: Status on the access date; check before reuse.
Multi-Party Interim Appeal Arbitration Arrangement (MPIA)
WTO Plurilaterals (Geneva Trade Platform). Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Header and news list
Used for: MPIA in application since 30 April 2020; participant count; 2025–26 joiners
Limits: Not a wto.org page. Its header still shows '60 of 164' members although the WTO has 166 members; treat the count as approximate.
MC14 concludes in Yaoundé (news item, 30 March 2026)
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Whole news item
Used for: MC14 outcome: decisions adopted; reform and e-commerce texts not agreed; moratoriums expiring end of March 2026
Limits: Written at the close of the conference; later Geneva developments are not covered.
General Council meeting, 6–7 May 2026 (news item)
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Whole news item
Used for: Post-MC14 status of the 'Yaoundé package'; three decisions formally adopted; 19-member joint statement on e-commerce duties; MC15 hosting offer
Limits: Status as of May 2026. Outcome of the July 2026 and later General Council meetings was NOT checked.
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Introduction and timeline
Used for: Doha Round launched November 2001; about 20 areas; single undertaking; timeline ends with the 2015 Nairobi package
Limits: The page does not itself say the round has failed or stalled; 'stalemate' is an inference from the timeline ending in 2015.
DDG Nordquist speech, London, 10 June 2026 (news item)
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Speech text
Used for: Yaoundé package not formally adopted; about 72% of merchandise trade still on MFN terms; 166 members decide by consensus
Limits: A speech by a WTO official, so it frames the facts favourably to the institution.
Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, No. 24-1287 (slip opinion, decided 20 February 2026)
Supreme Court of the United States. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Syllabus, pp. 1–2
Used for: Description of the 2025 IEEPA tariffs and the holding that IEEPA does not authorise tariffs
Limits: Only the syllabus was read (pp. 1–3). Says nothing on refunds or on tariffs under other statutes.
Active Presidential Tariff Actions in 2026: Fact Sheet (R49481, 8 October 2026)
Congressional Research Service. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Introduction (p. 1) and Table 1 (current as of 30 September 2026)
Used for: Sequence after the Supreme Court ruling: Section 122 surcharge, its expiry on 24 July 2026, Section 301 tariffs on 60 economies, continuing Section 232 tariffs
Limits: Status as of 30 September 2026; later changes not checked. Table rows read from PDF text extraction, so only unambiguous rows are used.
USTR Takes Action in Forced Labor Section 301 Investigations (press release, July 2026)
Office of the United States Trade Representative. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Whole release
Used for: Section 301 action of 23 July 2026: tariff tiers (10% / 12.5%), list of 17 economies at 10%, exemption categories
Limits: Government press release; effective date and product annex are in the Federal Register notice, which was not opened (site redirected to a block page).
Global Trade Outlook and Statistics, March 2026 (news item, 19 March 2026)
World Trade Organization. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. News item text, headline figures
Used for: 2025 merchandise trade volume growth, 2026–27 forecasts, AI-related goods share, MFN share of world trade
Limits: 2025 figures are preliminary (data as of 10 March 2026) and subject to revision; forecasts exclude a prolonged energy shock scenario.
Principles of Macroeconomics 3e: 16.4 Exchange Rate Policies
OpenStax, Rice University. Reference, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Section 16.4
Used for: Floating rates, soft pegs, hard pegs and a merged currency, with the trade-offs of each, including loss of independent monetary policy and the cost of reserves.
Limits: Does not use the terms fixed, managed float, devaluation, revaluation or monetary union. University-level US textbook: its wording, examples and diagrams are not IB wording and it is not an authority for IB scope or SL/HL level.
Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers (Blanchard and Leigh, IMF Working Paper 13/1)
International Monetary Fund. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Summary, 3 January 2013
Used for: The finding that planned fiscal consolidation was associated with lower-than-forecast growth early in the crisis, implying multipliers substantially higher than forecasters assumed.
Limits: A working paper (authors' views). The summary read gives no multiplier value; the relation weakened in later years.
International Monetary Fund. Real-world source, read in full, 11 Nov 2026. Publication summary, 5 June 2013
Used for: That significant fiscal adjustment occurred but confidence and growth were not restored, with undue delay in debt restructuring.
Limits: Only the web summary was read: no GDP, unemployment or debt figures are verified.